|
Number of observed and predicted polio cases using seven models. |
||||||||
| Month |
Polio Cases |
H1 |
H2 |
Weibull |
H3 |
Richards |
Logistic |
Gompertz |
|
|
||||||||
| 0 |
494 |
494 |
494 |
494 |
494 |
494 |
494 |
494 |
| 1 |
759 |
242.47 |
544.99 |
494.15 |
467.57 |
838.76 |
901.13 |
1112.71 |
| 2 |
1016 |
278.44 |
720.94 |
505.28 |
452.96 |
1424.12 |
1632.93 |
2224.48 |
| 3 |
1215 |
526.24 |
1153.82 |
635.10 |
563.29 |
2418.00 |
2924.19 |
4016.77 |
| 4 |
1619 |
1279.87 |
2218.78 |
1334.67 |
1262.75 |
4105.48 |
5130.07 |
6649.96 |
| 5 |
2964 |
3506.99 |
4917.77 |
3769.25 |
3730.08 |
6970.11 |
8697.85 |
10223.41 |
| 6 |
8489 |
9510.12 |
11444.30 |
9859.95 |
9872.33 |
11824.88 |
13987.47 |
14754.76 |
| 7 |
22377 |
21110.00 |
23267.60 |
20665.19 |
20687.08 |
19913.74 |
20898.37 |
20177.15 |
| 8 |
32618 |
33011.70 |
34655.40 |
32802.34 |
32777.73 |
31513.43 |
28575.53 |
26352.24 |
| 9 |
38153 |
39160.25 |
39855.70 |
39775.43 |
39753.72 |
39660.86 |
35708.48 |
33093.26 |
| 10 |
41462 |
41203.34 |
41247.00 |
41264.73 |
41277.59 |
41382.42 |
41316.48 |
40190.97 |
| 11 |
42375 |
41763.32 |
41522.90 |
41339.95 |
41358.99 |
41573.16 |
45174.27 |
47437.25 |
Tabatabai et al. Theoretical Biology and Medical Modelling 2005 2:14 doi:10.1186/1742-4682-2-14 |
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